AI & TechIssue #20

South Korea's R&D Spending Can't Win the Talent War

Why the world's No. 2 R&D spender by GDP share just fell outside the global top 25 in talent competitiveness.

South Korea's R&D Spending Can't Win the Talent War

Opening

Dear reader, if you follow the news these days, the phrase “talent war” seems to show up almost every other day. The US-China scramble for AI talent, Silicon Valley scientists packing their bags for Europe… but here’s the thing—the real winner of this war isn’t decided by who spends more money.

South Korea spends about 5% of its GDP on R&D—second in the world, right behind Israel. France spends roughly 2.2%, less than half of Korea’s share. And yet right now, scientists around the world are boarding flights to France. Not to Korea.

Today I want to talk about how the landscape of the global talent war is shifting, and where Korea actually stands in it.

The H-1B: From Fuel for Innovation to Political Landmine

This story starts back in 1990. As the Cold War ended and the information technology era dawned, the US created the H-1B visa to pull the world’s best engineers onto American soil. Born out of the Immigration Act of 1990, the visa admitted skilled foreign professionals under an annual cap of 65,000.

The effect was immediate. During the dot-com boom, startups like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft hired globally through H-1B in droves, and Congress even raised the annual cap to 195,000 at one point. The H-1B was, quite literally, Silicon Valley’s fuel.

But the visa’s character gradually began to shift. From the mid-2000s, IT outsourcing firms like Infosys, Tata, and Cognizant emerged as the largest users of H-1B. They used the visa to bring in mid-level technicians from India en masse, effectively displacing American jobs—a far cry from the original intent of a visa for elite talent.

The turning point came in 2016. White workers in the Rust Belt1 began seeing H-1B as a “job-stealing visa,” and President Trump absorbed that anger politically. By 2025, an executive order had imposed a $100,000 fee on new H-1B applications. A tool of innovation had become a political landmine.

And it wasn’t just visa policy that changed. The Trump administration also slashed federal science budgets. Discussions to cut the National Institutes of Health (NIH) budget—about $48 billion—by nearly 40% moved forward, and elite universities like Columbia and Harvard got caught up in research funding freezes and lawsuits. Cracks began appearing across America’s entire scientific ecosystem.

France: “We’ll Give You Freedom Instead of Money”

The country that has most cleverly exploited this opening is France.

France’s strategy actually began back in 2017. When Trump announced the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, President Macron launched the slogan “Make Our Planet Great Again” and invited climate scientists to France. The French National Centre for Scientific Research (CNRS) offered permanent research positions and established a climate research fund worth about €60 million.

Then, in April 2025, France went a step further, formally launching a platform called “Choose France for Science.” Run officially by the French National Research Agency (ANR), it lets scientists worldwide apply online. It’s part of France 2030, a €54 billion national innovation investment plan, with about €1.5 billion earmarked specifically for talent attraction.

What’s worth noting here is France’s approach. Rather than simply saying “we’ll pay you more,” they made three promises.

First, academic freedom. At a time when certain research topics or terms are politically restricted in the US, France essentially said, “Study whatever you want.” Second, the stability of a permanent position. Once hired, CNRS guarantees a permanent research post through voluntary resignation or retirement—far more stable than America’s “tenure track.”2 Third, the chance to join major projects. For instance, when an astrophysicist was laid off from NASA, Aix-Marseille University offered an extraordinary deal: a three-year contract plus participation in every space project launched from France.

The results were striking. In the first round of selections for Choose France for Science, 46 researchers were chosen—41 of them from the US. The “Safe Place for Science” program run independently by Aix-Marseille University drew more than 300 applicants. Even the European Research Council’s (ERC) Synergy Grants saw the number of projects involving US-based researchers nearly double, from 12 the previous year to 21.

China: Betting on Breadth, Not Scale

If France is drawing in scientists with “freedom of research,” China has played a completely different card. On October 1, 2025, China officially rolled out a new visa category called the K visa.

What fundamentally sets the K visa apart from existing visas is this: it requires no employer sponsorship. Unlike America’s H-1B, which absolutely requires corporate sponsorship, the K visa lets applicants apply on their own. Anyone with a bachelor’s degree or higher in STEM qualifies, and the package includes long-term residency, tax breaks, housing support, and access to international schools for children.

And China didn’t unify this under a single standard—it let regions set their own criteria. The Shanghai Free Trade Zone offers premium treatment to startup founders and fintech and semiconductor specialists; Shenzhen and Guangdong focus on advanced technology with their own separate tax-rebate standards; Hainan targets tourism, finance, and aerospace.

One more thing worth noting: China has started accepting documents in English. Traditionally, China is a country that demands all official paperwork be filed in Chinese—it even required American companies to submit rare-earth export documents in Chinese. Yet this same country now allows English for K visa applications, and even lets applicants apply online. It’s a signal of just how desperately China wants foreign talent.

Of course, there’s plenty of domestic backlash too. With youth unemployment among 16-to-24-year-olds in China running at about 18.9%, social media pushback against policies to attract foreign talent has been fierce. Reports say related hashtags racked up roughly 500 million views within two days. But the Chinese government’s stance is clear: it intends to selectively recruit a small number of strategically chosen top-tier talents.

Oz’s Lens

Watching this global talent war unfold, I noticed a pattern through the lens of a GTM strategist.

Winning in the talent market isn’t about “price competition”—it’s about positioning.

France’s annual R&D budget is about half of Korea’s. As a share of GDP, Korea spends roughly 5% versus France’s 2.2%—more than double. And yet the world’s top scientists are choosing France. Why? Because what France offers isn’t money—it’s the promise that “your research can matter here.” The same is true for China. The core of the K visa isn’t salary; it’s removing the barrier to entry—“you can come here without an employer.” What talent wants isn’t money so much as a well-designed structure of opportunity.

So where does that leave Korea? In INSEAD’s 2025 Global Talent Competitiveness Index (GTCI), Korea fell outside the top 25. Here’s a country that invests one of the highest shares of GDP in R&D in the entire world, yet ranks lower than Portugal in talent competitiveness. Even the US, at its lowest ranking ever at #9, still made the top 10.

The way I see it, Korea’s problem is a mismatch between input and attraction. Korea spends a lot of money, but that spending isn’t translating into reasons for foreign talent to choose Korea. While France wields “academic freedom” and China wields “visa flexibility” as weapons, it’s genuinely unclear what unique value proposition Korea offers to global talent.

Money isn’t the problem. What Macron’s France demonstrated is that top talent doesn’t respond to salary—they respond to questions like “Can my research make an impact on society?” and “Can I take part in meaningful projects?” Rather than spending more money, Korea needs to ask what structure of opportunity that money should build.

Closing

To sum up: first, the shrinking of America’s H-1B program and cuts to research funding pulled the trigger on a global movement of talent. Second, France is absorbing that talent through the positioning of “freedom and opportunity in research” rather than money, while China is absorbing it through the structural design of “removing barriers to entry.” Third, Korea’s R&D spending is among the highest in the world by scale, but that investment isn’t converting into the power to attract global talent.

Winning the talent war depends not on how much you spend, but on what promise you make. What promise can Korea offer to global talent? Finding the answer to that question, I think, is a far more important task than simply raising the budget.

References & Further Reading


The author, Kwangseob Ahn, is a professor of business administration at Sejong University and lead consultant at OBF (Oswarld Boutique Consulting Firm). He teaches statistics and data analysis — business data management and business analytics — while leading GTM and AI strategy consulting in the field, designing the seam between technology and business. He has published academic research on a memory architecture for AI dialogue systems (HEMA) and runs Daily Arxiv, a daily curation of global AI papers. He holds a master’s from Korea University’s Graduate School of Technology Management and a KMBA. He is the author of Homo Brainless: The People Who Outsource Their Thinking.

Footnotes

  1. Rust Belt: A region spanning the US Northeast to Midwest that was once the heart of American manufacturing. It includes states like Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and refers to areas where jobs declined sharply as manufacturing collapsed.

  2. Tenure Track: A faculty appointment system at American universities in which, after a review period (typically 5–7 years), a professor who passes earns tenure—permanent job security. Those who don’t pass must leave the university, which critics say makes the position precarious.